Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. 2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Longshot of the week As mentioned before, major winners can be found throughout the field this week. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. At the British Open, four of Holliman's picks finished in the top eight, including Dustin Johnson (35-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (35-1). The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. Keith Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last three starts. Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Skip to main content. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. by Mastercard. Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. World No. Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Gilliam County. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. It is an attractive, rolling course that is well maintained with well-mowed and As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. READ MORE: Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! After spending last year on the Korn Ferry Tour, An has not missed the cut in five starts in 2023 and is coming off a T21 finish at the Honda Classic, where he was hanging around the top-5 heading into Sunday. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. We hate touts. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. CrazyTown, USA. Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) Genesis: Justin Thomas. >. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. In his last five starts and first five tournaments on the PGA Tour in 2023, Rahm has three victories, a Top 3 and a T7 finish. He hit another 25-1 shotat the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. After two The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. Farmers: Jason Day. 9 this week. Shipping on most Impact Label products Tee times in this area. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Skip to main content. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. Hes not backing down. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Touts are lame. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. ESPN+. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. American Express: Brian Harman. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? Then it just comes down to the putter. RELATED: Phil Mickelson drops to depressingly low standing in the Official World Golf Ranking. Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? McIlroy (19-2) and Scheffler (11-1) also are top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, followed by Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1) and Justin Thomas (23-1). After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. ESPN+. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Now were getting a little bold. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. No, he is not a tout. More recently, he finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season. An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. The 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Touts are lame. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. Skip to navigation. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express.